{"id":3457,"date":"2024-07-01T03:56:23","date_gmt":"2024-07-01T03:56:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/iscpif.fr\/chavalarias\/?p=3457"},"modified":"2024-09-20T17:31:34","modified_gmt":"2024-09-20T17:31:34","slug":"minuit-moins-dix-a-lhorloge-de-poutine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/iscpif.fr\/chavalarias\/?p=3457","title":{"rendered":"Minuit moins dix \u00e0 l\u2019horloge de Poutine"},"content":{"rendered":"<div  class='flex_column av-85q28x-ad0b58de8f1c4b2763be025aefb3a601 av_one_full  avia-builder-el-0  el_before_av_one_full  avia-builder-el-first  first flex_column_div  '     ><style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-ly2g118g-b1441a2d238dbcec8585363ae1d10d3b\">\n#top .av-special-heading.av-ly2g118g-b1441a2d238dbcec8585363ae1d10d3b{\npadding-bottom:10px;\n}\nbody .av-special-heading.av-ly2g118g-b1441a2d238dbcec8585363ae1d10d3b .av-special-heading-tag .heading-char{\nfont-size:25px;\n}\n.av-special-heading.av-ly2g118g-b1441a2d238dbcec8585363ae1d10d3b .av-subheading{\nfont-size:15px;\n}\n<\/style>\n<div  class='av-special-heading av-ly2g118g-b1441a2d238dbcec8585363ae1d10d3b av-special-heading-h2  avia-builder-el-1  avia-builder-el-no-sibling '><h2 class='av-special-heading-tag '  itemprop=\"headline\"  >Minuit moins dix \u00e0 l\u2019horloge de Poutine<\/h2><div class=\"special-heading-border\"><div class=\"special-heading-inner-border\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n<div  class='flex_column av-5rt7nl-06192b7736241e837329fb2a29101099 av_one_full  avia-builder-el-2  el_after_av_one_full  el_before_av_one_fourth  first flex_column_div  column-top-margin'     ><style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-ly2g1dgf-3591ee05ce65d262245e879c63a8e505\">\n#top .av-special-heading.av-ly2g1dgf-3591ee05ce65d262245e879c63a8e505{\npadding-bottom:10px;\n}\nbody .av-special-heading.av-ly2g1dgf-3591ee05ce65d262245e879c63a8e505 .av-special-heading-tag .heading-char{\nfont-size:25px;\n}\n.av-special-heading.av-ly2g1dgf-3591ee05ce65d262245e879c63a8e505 .av-subheading{\nfont-size:15px;\n}\n<\/style>\n<div  class='av-special-heading av-ly2g1dgf-3591ee05ce65d262245e879c63a8e505 av-special-heading-h3  avia-builder-el-3  avia-builder-el-no-sibling '><h3 class='av-special-heading-tag '  itemprop=\"headline\"  >Jusque l\u00e0, tout se passe comme pr\u00e9vu<\/h3><div class=\"special-heading-border\"><div class=\"special-heading-inner-border\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n<div  class='flex_column av-d6m01-d404136553986812361c012a04f23117 av_one_fourth  avia-builder-el-4  el_after_av_one_full  el_before_av_three_fourth  first flex_column_div  column-top-margin'     ><style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-ly8rjpbd-d49c85d36de4cad652f8524d95a11759\">\n.iconbox.av-ly8rjpbd-d49c85d36de4cad652f8524d95a11759 .iconbox_icon{\ncolor:#b02b2c;\n}\n.iconbox.av-ly8rjpbd-d49c85d36de4cad652f8524d95a11759 .iconbox_icon.avia-svg-icon svg:first-child{\nfill:#b02b2c;\nstroke:#b02b2c;\n}\n<\/style>\n<article  class='iconbox iconbox_left av-ly8rjpbd-d49c85d36de4cad652f8524d95a11759  avia-builder-el-5  el_before_av_icon_box  avia-builder-el-first '  itemscope=\"itemscope\" itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/BlogPosting\" itemprop=\"blogPost\" ><div class=\"iconbox_content\"><header class=\"entry-content-header\" aria-label=\"Icon: Synth\u00e8se de l\u2019\u00e9tude (Web)\"><div class='iconbox_icon heading-color avia-iconfont avia-font-entypo-fontello' data-av_icon='\ue84d' data-av_iconfont='entypo-fontello' title=\"Synth\u00e8se de l\u2019\u00e9tude (Web)\" desc=\"Synth\u00e8se de l\u2019\u00e9tude (Web)\" ><\/div><h3 class='iconbox_content_title '  itemprop=\"headline\" ><a href='https:\/\/hackmd.iscpif.fr\/s\/HJQny14PA#' title='Synth\u00e8se de l\u2019\u00e9tude (Web)'  target=\"_blank\"  rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" >Synth\u00e8se de l\u2019\u00e9tude (Web)<\/a><\/h3><\/header><div class='iconbox_content_container '  itemprop=\"text\" ><div class=\"iconbox_content_container \">\n<p><span class=\"css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3\">Apr\u00e8s la mise en bouche \u201cMinuit moins dix \u00e0 l\u2019horloge de Poutine\u201d voici le plat de <\/span><span class=\"r-18u37iz\"><a class=\"css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1loqt21\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/hashtag\/R\u00e9sistance?src=hashtag_click\">#R\u00e9sistance<\/a><\/span><span class=\"css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3\"> pour tenir jusqu\u2019\u00e0 Dimanche. Facile \u00e0 lire et en version Web! \u00c0 faire circuler sans mod\u00e9ration\u00a0 [<a href=\"https:\/\/hackmd.iscpif.fr\/s\/HJQny14PA#\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Lire l&#8217;article<\/a> (web)]<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div><\/div><footer class=\"entry-footer\"><\/footer><\/article><br \/>\n\n<style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-ly2g46e1-e979f75738784b4fd9d2bda55acc8cb1\">\n.iconbox.av-ly2g46e1-e979f75738784b4fd9d2bda55acc8cb1 .iconbox_icon{\ncolor:#b02b2c;\n}\n.iconbox.av-ly2g46e1-e979f75738784b4fd9d2bda55acc8cb1 .iconbox_icon.avia-svg-icon svg:first-child{\nfill:#b02b2c;\nstroke:#b02b2c;\n}\n<\/style>\n<article  class='iconbox iconbox_left av-ly2g46e1-e979f75738784b4fd9d2bda55acc8cb1  avia-builder-el-6  el_after_av_icon_box  el_before_av_image '  itemscope=\"itemscope\" itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/BlogPosting\" itemprop=\"blogPost\" ><div class=\"iconbox_content\"><header class=\"entry-content-header\" aria-label=\"Icon: Lire l\u2019\u00e9tude compl\u00e8te (PDF)\"><div class='iconbox_icon heading-color avia-iconfont avia-font-entypo-fontello' data-av_icon='\ue84d' data-av_iconfont='entypo-fontello' title=\"Lire l\u2019\u00e9tude compl\u00e8te (PDF)\" desc=\"Lire l\u2019\u00e9tude compl\u00e8te (PDF)\" ><\/div><h3 class='iconbox_content_title '  itemprop=\"headline\" ><a href='https:\/\/hal.science\/hal-04629585v4' title='Lire l\u2019\u00e9tude compl\u00e8te (PDF)'  target=\"_blank\"  rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" >Lire l\u2019\u00e9tude compl\u00e8te (PDF)<\/a><\/h3><\/header><div class='iconbox_content_container '  itemprop=\"text\" ><p>Le politoscope d\u00e9code le contexte tr\u00e8s particulier de l\u2019accession au pouvoir du Rassemblement National, marqu\u00e9 par l\u2019ing\u00e9rence de Vladimir Poutine.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><footer class=\"entry-footer\"><\/footer><\/article><br \/>\n\n<style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-ly2g8aj7-03e38eaea4471afae5c70ac56e4ccadb\">\n.avia-image-container.av-ly2g8aj7-03e38eaea4471afae5c70ac56e4ccadb img.avia_image{\nbox-shadow:none;\n}\n.avia-image-container.av-ly2g8aj7-03e38eaea4471afae5c70ac56e4ccadb .av-image-caption-overlay-center{\ncolor:#ffffff;\n}\n<\/style>\n<div  class='avia-image-container av-ly2g8aj7-03e38eaea4471afae5c70ac56e4ccadb av-styling- avia-align-center  avia-builder-el-7  el_after_av_icon_box  el_before_av_textblock '   itemprop=\"image\" itemscope=\"itemscope\" itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/ImageObject\" ><div class=\"avia-image-container-inner\"><div class=\"avia-image-overlay-wrap\"><img decoding=\"async\" fetchpriority=\"high\" class='wp-image-3458 avia-img-lazy-loading-not-3458 avia_image ' src=\"https:\/\/iscpif.fr\/chavalarias\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2024\/07\/politoscope_graph_2022-03-28_2022-04-10_th3.0_flc0_Amplif_ProK_colored_th10_cropped_1500.png\" alt='' title='politoscope_graph_2022-03-28_2022-04-10_th=3.0_flc=0_Amplif_ProK_colored_th10_cropped_1500'  height=\"881\" width=\"800\"  itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" srcset=\"https:\/\/iscpif.fr\/chavalarias\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2024\/07\/politoscope_graph_2022-03-28_2022-04-10_th3.0_flc0_Amplif_ProK_colored_th10_cropped_1500.png 800w, https:\/\/iscpif.fr\/chavalarias\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2024\/07\/politoscope_graph_2022-03-28_2022-04-10_th3.0_flc0_Amplif_ProK_colored_th10_cropped_1500-272x300.png 272w, https:\/\/iscpif.fr\/chavalarias\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2024\/07\/politoscope_graph_2022-03-28_2022-04-10_th3.0_flc0_Amplif_ProK_colored_th10_cropped_1500-768x846.png 768w, https:\/\/iscpif.fr\/chavalarias\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2024\/07\/politoscope_graph_2022-03-28_2022-04-10_th3.0_flc0_Amplif_ProK_colored_th10_cropped_1500-640x705.png 640w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/div><\/div><\/div><br \/>\n<section  class='av_textblock_section av-ly2ga1gz-7f0cabd8c27a76acf48ddaec7a1c01ee '   itemscope=\"itemscope\" itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/BlogPosting\" itemprop=\"blogPost\" ><div class='avia_textblock'  itemprop=\"text\" ><p>La France se consume et nous regardons ailleurs<\/p>\n<\/div><\/section><\/p><\/div><div  class='flex_column av-2a6r0h-aeab44c780617febcb0e987a16a1d274 av_three_fourth  avia-builder-el-9  el_after_av_one_fourth  avia-builder-el-last  flex_column_div  column-top-margin'     ><section  class='av_textblock_section av-ly2g5sv8-cd34134ca5953b0ff33585958cb18776 '   itemscope=\"itemscope\" itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/BlogPosting\" itemprop=\"blogPost\" ><div class='avia_textblock'  itemprop=\"text\" ><p><a href=\"http:\/\/chavalarias.org\"><em>David Chavalarias<\/em><\/a>, Directeur de Recherche CNRS, 30 Juin 2024<\/p>\n<p>Le projet Politoscope observe depuis 2016 le militantisme politiques sur \\X{}. Nous avons d\u00e9velopp\u00e9 des m\u00e9thodes pour analyser les dynamiques sociales et de d\u00e9bats, ainsi que les manipulations d\u2019opinions.<\/p>\n<p>Permettant de passer en acc\u00e9l\u00e9r\u00e9 ces dynamiques sociales, il est possible de caract\u00e9riser un processus d\u2019affaiblissement puis d\u2019inversion du front r\u00e9publicain \u00e0 l\u2019approche des l\u00e9gislatives de 2024 et d\u2019identifier les strat\u00e9gies de subversion qui l\u2019ont favoris\u00e9. Ces strat\u00e9gies de basse intensit\u00e9, pilot\u00e9es ou influenc\u00e9es pour la plupart par le Kremlin, se d\u00e9ploient sur des \u00e9chelles de temps trop longues pour que les acteurs du d\u00e9bats en aient conscience. Elles visent \u00e0 d\u00e9structurer la soci\u00e9t\u00e9 fran\u00e7aise de mani\u00e8re syst\u00e9mique pour provoquer une transition vers une soci\u00e9t\u00e9 ferm\u00e9e ou une d\u00e9mocratie illib\u00e9rale.<\/p>\n<p>Dans un contexte de reconfiguration brutale de l\u2019espace politique suite \u00e0 la dissolution de l\u2019Assembl\u00e9e nationale, les efforts du Kremlin sont sur le point de payer. Cette \u00e9tude identifie une convergence d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eats entre le r\u00e9gime de Poutine et l\u2019extr\u00eame-droite fran\u00e7aise. Elle explicite certaines mesures actives mises en place par le Kremlin depuis au moins 2016 pour d\u00e9stabiliser la soci\u00e9t\u00e9 fran\u00e7aise et montre comment certaines d\u2019entre-elles entrent en synergie ces jours-ci pour faire tomber voire s\u2019inverser le front r\u00e9publicain. Ceci est la derni\u00e8re \u00e9tape avant la prise de contr\u00f4le de la France par des personnalit\u00e9s politiques moins hostiles au r\u00e9gime de Poutine.<\/p>\n<p>Dans ce dispositif, les communaut\u00e9s politiques pr\u00e9occup\u00e9es par le conflit isra\u00e9lo-palestinien et la mont\u00e9e de l\u2019antis\u00e9mitisme ou de l\u2019islamophobie sont instrumentalis\u00e9es afin de compromettre tout barrage contre une extr\u00eame-droite banalis\u00e9e au second tour des l\u00e9gislatives.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/section><\/div><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":3458,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[27,31,32,33,17,3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3457","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-alire","category-blog","category-news","category-politoscope","category-publication","category-toread"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/iscpif.fr\/chavalarias\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3457","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/iscpif.fr\/chavalarias\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/iscpif.fr\/chavalarias\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iscpif.fr\/chavalarias\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/9"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iscpif.fr\/chavalarias\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3457"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/iscpif.fr\/chavalarias\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3457\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3549,"href":"https:\/\/iscpif.fr\/chavalarias\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3457\/revisions\/3549"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iscpif.fr\/chavalarias\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/3458"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/iscpif.fr\/chavalarias\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3457"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iscpif.fr\/chavalarias\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3457"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iscpif.fr\/chavalarias\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3457"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}